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Gabriel Lerner
Gabriel Lerner
The Ban With a Judge Behind It

Oct 27, 2026

•

4 min read

The Ban With a Judge Behind It

Australia is building court-issued exclusion orders for violent repeat offenders, state by state. The US relies on private lists. Some states already have the tool and almost nobody uses it.

Gabriel Lerner
Gabriel Lerner
The Law Nobody Has Switched On

Oct 20, 2026

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4 min read

The Law Nobody Has Switched On

Britain passed the retail crime law the US industry keeps asking for. Six months later it is still not in force, and the numbers moved anyway.

Gabriel Lerner
Gabriel Lerner
Five Straight Years

Oct 20, 2026

•

4 min read

Five Straight Years

Canada publishes the national shoplifting series the US does not have. It shows theft rising alone while almost every other property crime falls.

Gabriel Lerner
Gabriel Lerner
Three Years, One Enforcement Action

Oct 6, 2026

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4 min read

Three Years, One Enforcement Action

The federal law written to choke off stolen-goods resale has produced a single enforcement case — about a missing telephone number.

Gabriel Lerner
Gabriel Lerner
Two Things Work. Most Don't.

Sep 29, 2026

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4 min read

Two Things Work. Most Don't.

Fourteen years after the strongest controlled trial in retail loss prevention, the evidence base for what this industry buys is thinner than the spend implies.

Gabriel Lerner
Gabriel Lerner
The Budget With No Benchmark

Sep 22, 2026

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4 min read

The Budget With No Benchmark

Shrink vanished from six of nine retail earnings calls this quarter. You are defending next year's budget in the one risk function with no published spend figure.

Gabriel Lerner
Gabriel Lerner
No Liability Shift Exists Yet

Sep 15, 2026

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4 min read

No Liability Shift Exists Yet

Amazon spent nine months trying to keep an AI agent off its store and lost. Nobody has written the rules for what happens next.

Gabriel Lerner
Gabriel Lerner
The List Nobody Audits

Sep 8, 2026

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4 min read

The List Nobody Audits

Cross-retailer offender databases now span 85,000 stores. No independent evaluation has ever shown they reduce loss.

Gabriel Lerner
Gabriel Lerner
The Thinnest Crew in Fifteen Years

Sep 1, 2026

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4 min read

The Thinnest Crew in Fifteen Years

Peak concentrates the exposure onto the smallest seasonal workforce since 2009 — and the count that would tell you what it cost happens twice a year.

Gabriel Lerner
Gabriel Lerner
You Got the Laws. You Never Got the Proof.

Aug 26, 2026

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4 min read

You Got the Laws. You Never Got the Proof.

Three years of ORC legislation, record enforcement, and improving shrink — and nobody can connect them.

Gabriel Lerner
Gabriel Lerner
The Loss With No Instrument

Aug 18, 2026

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4 min read

The Loss With No Instrument

Gift card draining is organized, federal, and growing 25% a year. It appears nowhere in your loss reporting — by design.

Gabriel Lerner
Gabriel Lerner
Your Industry Changed the Metric. Your Board Didn't.

Aug 10, 2026

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4 min read

Your Industry Changed the Metric. Your Board Didn't.

NRF killed the shrink survey and replaced it with a theft and violence report. Nobody told the audit committee.

Gabriel Lerner
Gabriel Lerner
The Loss That Never Reaches Your Store

Aug 4, 2026

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4 min read

The Loss That Never Reaches Your Store

Cargo theft losses rose 60% on flat volume. Six in ten retailers don't count any of it as shrink.

Gabriel Lerner
Gabriel Lerner
The Letter That Funds Your Budget

Jul 28, 2026

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3 min read

The Letter That Funds Your Budget

Edition #13 — 1.2 million demand letters a year. Fewer than ten lawsuits. A court called it extortion.

Gabriel Lerner
Gabriel Lerner
Your Biggest Theft Problem Walks In, Not Out

Jul 21, 2026

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3 min read

Your Biggest Theft Problem Walks In, Not Out

Edition #12 — Returns fraud runs USD 76–101 billion a year, several times the ORC number. It reports to nobody.

Gabriel Lerner
Gabriel Lerner
The Lock Is Losing More Than the Thief

Jul 14, 2026

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3 min read

The Lock Is Losing More Than the Thief

Edition #11 — The vendor's own patents put the cost of locked cases at 25–50% of sales. Nobody reports that line.

Gabriel Lerner
Gabriel Lerner
The Shrink You Installed

Jul 7, 2026

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4 min read

The Shrink You Installed

Edition #10 — Self-checkout was a labor decision. The loss data arrived eight years late.

Gabriel Lerner
Gabriel Lerner
Apprehension Theater

Jun 30, 2026

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4 min read

Apprehension Theater

Edition #09 — Why the number AP reports up the chain is not the number that matters

Gabriel Lerner
Gabriel Lerner
The Research Is a Brochure

Jun 23, 2026

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4 min read

The Research Is a Brochure

Edition #08 — Who funds the studies your business case is built on

Gabriel Lerner
Gabriel Lerner
Your Cameras Are a Liability Now

Jun 17, 2026

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3 min read

Your Cameras Are a Liability Now

Edition #07 — The surveillance apparatus AP built is becoming the lawsuit AP defends

Gabriel Lerner
Gabriel Lerner
Your AP Career Has a $220K Ceiling

Jun 9, 2026

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5 min read

Your AP Career Has a $220K Ceiling

Edition #06 — Eaten from below. Capped in the middle. Closed at the top.

Gabriel Lerner
Gabriel Lerner
Both Are Theft. One Has Handcuffs.

Jun 2, 2026

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5 min read

Both Are Theft. One Has Handcuffs.

Edition #05 — Why retail employee theft has $26B of investigation behind it and employer wage theft has almost none

Gabriel Lerner
Gabriel Lerner
Shrink Was the Wrong Argument

May 26, 2026

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4 min read

Shrink Was the Wrong Argument

Edition #04 — Why returns just ate the loss prevention conversation

Gabriel Lerner
Gabriel Lerner
The $90B Disconnect: Why Your CFO Is Reading a Different Story

May 12, 2026

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4 min read

The $90B Disconnect: Why Your CFO Is Reading a Different Story

Edition #02 — When the earnings call and the operating floor tell different stories

Gabriel Lerner
Gabriel Lerner
The $112B Problem: Why Shrink Is Now a Board-Level Conversation

May 5, 2026

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5 min read

The $112B Problem: Why Shrink Is Now a Board-Level Conversation

Edition #01 — Why loss prevention moved from the back room to the boardroom

Gabriel Lerner
Gabriel Lerner

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